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Red74
491524.3
129426.0
49221.8
Blue80
491132.7
298020.2
468321.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7574607080901007480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#12
26.00.2
26.626.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.7
End3.3
blue by 6.8
32.70.2
32.732.9
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Second
4915
#14
24.30.2
24.324.1
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.6
red by 2.4
4683
#11
21.90.2
19.719.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.9
Third
492
#29
21.80.2
21.221.0
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.9
red by 1.6
2980
#33
20.20.3
19.820.1
Auto2.2
Teleop14.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed