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Qual 232016 Peak Performance
Red60
322326.7
299035.5
468119.8
Blue89
323845.4
321927.2
252234.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791150501001502002503006089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#10
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End5.7
blue by 9.9
3238
#15
45.40.0
45.4→45.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
Second
3223
#17
26.70.0
26.7→26.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 7.7
2522
#7
34.40.0
34.4→34.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
4681
#16
19.80.0
19.8→19.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
blue by 7.4
3219
#11
27.20.0
27.2→27.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds34%Capture odds