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Red87
468119.8
36049.5
321927.2
Blue89
252234.4
255745.4
420526.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711102003004008789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#12
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
red by 4.1
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Second
3219
#11
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 7.3
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
4681
#16
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
blue by 6.3
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds15%Capture odds