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Qual 82016 Peak Performance
Red72
299035.5
94831.3
323845.4
Blue90
580337.5
445032.9
281129.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181000501502002507290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#15
45.40.0
45.4→45.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 7.9
5803
#8
37.50.0
37.5→37.5
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
Second
2990
#10
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End5.7
red by 2.6
4450
#3
32.90.0
32.9→32.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
Third
948
#5
31.30.0
31.3→31.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 2.1
2811
#6
29.20.0
29.2→29.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
21%Capture odds43%Capture odds