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Red33
451326.2
607616.2
192011.4
Blue139
321628.1
406137.6
592031.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49137010020025030035040033139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 11.4
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
Second
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End4.2
blue by 15.1
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Third
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
blue by 16.6
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2