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Red70
451326.2
607616.2
192011.4
Blue145
321628.1
406137.6
592031.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49137010020025030035070145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 11.4
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
Second
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End4.2
blue by 15.1
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Third
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
blue by 16.6
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2