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Red46
306131.5
159536.4
294428.9
Blue76
498036.1
192011.4
451326.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105710501502002504676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
red by 0.3
4980
#13
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
Second
3061
#12
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 5.3
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Third
2944
#14
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
red by 17.5
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds52%Breach odds
Capture
12%Capture odds1%Capture odds