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Red71
214821.6
546113.8
607616.2
Blue47
294428.9
321628.1
214731.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459901502002507147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2148
#11
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End2.6
blue by 10.0
2147
#10
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
Second
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End4.2
blue by 12.7
2944
#14
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Third
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 14.3
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds2%Capture odds