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Red87
214731.6
592031.3
159536.4
Blue75
306131.5
451326.2
321628.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105850501502008775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
red by 4.9
3061
#12
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
2147
#10
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
red by 3.6
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
red by 5.1
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds2%Capture odds