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Red74
213030.0
406137.6
607616.2
Blue67
192011.4
498036.1
546113.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915801502007467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
red by 1.6
4980
#13
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
Second
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End6.9
red by 16.2
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Third
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End4.2
red by 4.8
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds46%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds0%Capture odds