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Red91
451326.2
406137.6
306131.5
Blue57
294428.9
214821.6
607616.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104630501502002509157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
red by 8.7
2944
#14
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Second
3061
#12
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 9.9
2148
#11
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Third
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
red by 10.0
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds46%Breach odds
Capture
12%Capture odds1%Capture odds