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Red98
214731.6
498036.1
159536.4
Blue76
321628.1
546113.8
592031.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114690501001502002509876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
red by 5.0
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Second
4980
#13
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
red by 8.0
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
2147
#10
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
red by 17.8
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds1%Capture odds