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Red56
406137.6
214731.6
192011.4
Blue85
306131.5
592031.3
607616.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8381506070901001101205685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
red by 6.1
3061
#12
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
2147
#10
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
red by 0.3
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Third
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
blue by 4.8
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds3%Capture odds