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Red64
214821.6
321628.1
498036.1
Blue70
159536.4
451326.2
546113.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90770501001502006470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#13
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
blue by 0.3
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
Second
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
red by 1.8
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Third
2148
#11
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End2.6
red by 7.8
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach odds68%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds3%Capture odds