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Red66
294428.9
451326.2
607616.2
Blue104
213030.0
321628.1
592031.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions709605015020025030035040066104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2944
#14
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
blue by 2.4
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Second
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 3.8
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End6.9
Third
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End4.2
blue by 11.8
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds