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Red56
213030.0
192011.4
294428.9
Blue34
214731.6
159536.4
214821.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68960501502002503003505634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End6.9
blue by 6.3
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
Second
2944
#14
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
blue by 2.7
2147
#10
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
Third
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
blue by 10.2
2148
#11
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds5%Capture odds