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Red74
406137.6
546113.8
321628.1
Blue64
498036.1
306131.5
214731.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781060501502002503003504007464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
red by 1.6
4980
#13
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
Second
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
blue by 3.6
2147
#10
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
Third
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 17.7
3061
#12
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds3%Capture odds