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Red60
403015.9
189915.7
418020.6
Blue86
382628.6
292824.2
408920.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3861020801001206086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#24
20.61.1
12.914.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 8.0
28.63.4
18.421.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End4.4
Second
4030
#17
15.91.1
18.419.5
Auto1.5
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 8.3
24.23.4
21.324.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Third
1899
#18
15.70.6
9.09.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End2.0
blue by 5.1
4089
#22
20.83.4
15.919.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed