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Red54
549522.4
293030.7
294221.0
Blue50
558825.6
594113.9
26609.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575102040801001201405450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.0
22.922.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
red by 5.1
5588
#21
25.60.4
23.323.0
Auto9.7
Teleop11.1
End4.8
Second
5495
#20
22.40.0
17.917.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End3.6
red by 8.5
5941
#36
13.90.6
11.811.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Third
2942
#35
21.00.0
13.413.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End4.7
red by 11.9
2660
#38
9.10.6
15.514.9
Auto1.3
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed