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Red50
368113.1
326814.8
491521.3
Blue50
322326.8
430922.4
468221.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585101001505050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#33
21.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End3.1
blue by 5.5
26.8
Auto10.2
Teleop11.1
End5.5
Second
3268
#32
14.8
Auto0.9
Teleop10.2
End3.7
blue by 7.6
4309
#10
22.4
Auto9.0
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
3681
#37
13.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 8.3
4682
#27
21.4
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed