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Red65
297621.7
292824.2
56819.4
Blue79
368418.8
94926.7
430922.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63653040507080901006579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.3
21.121.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.7
blue by 2.5
949
#7
26.71.1
26.127.2
Auto11.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
Second
2976
#16
21.70.4
22.322.7
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.9
blue by 0.7
4309
#10
22.41.8
18.420.2
Auto9.0
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
568
#29
19.40.3
18.318.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End2.9
red by 0.6
3684
#25
18.81.8
18.520.3
Auto2.8
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed