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Red65
420523.0
418020.6
407721.5
Blue32
549522.4
368113.1
366334.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59692040801001206532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4205
#14
23.00.7
19.720.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End5.0
blue by 11.2
34.22.2
36.434.1
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End5.3
Second
4077
#13
21.50.7
18.218.9
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End4.1
blue by 0.9
5495
#20
22.43.5
20.917.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Third
4180
#24
20.60.7
20.621.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 7.5
3681
#37
13.13.7
8.44.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed