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Red82
491131.6
408920.8
322326.8
Blue78
451223.0
291023.1
468221.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8163401001208278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.1
31.231.3
Auto7.2
Teleop18.8
End5.6
red by 8.5
2910
#15
23.11.2
22.023.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Second
26.80.0
24.524.5
Auto10.2
Teleop11.1
End5.5
red by 3.8
4512
#12
23.01.2
21.723.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Third
4089
#22
20.80.1
20.720.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End3.5
blue by 0.5
4682
#27
21.41.3
20.521.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed