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Red45
491521.3
94926.7
26609.1
Blue79
292824.2
403015.9
420523.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6161405070804579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
949
#7
26.70.9
26.825.9
Auto11.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
red by 2.5
24.21.3
22.423.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Second
4915
#33
21.31.3
23.321.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End3.1
blue by 1.7
4205
#14
23.01.3
21.322.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End5.0
Third
2660
#38
9.11.2
8.97.6
Auto1.3
Teleop7.0
End0.8
blue by 6.8
4030
#17
15.91.3
15.917.2
Auto1.5
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed