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Red61
418020.6
382628.6
468118.2
Blue87
241222.3
549522.4
177822.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7455204060801001206187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.2
30.529.3
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End4.4
red by 6.1
5495
#20
22.42.8
18.321.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
4180
#24
20.61.2
19.818.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 1.7
22.32.8
19.722.4
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End2.8
Third
4681
#23
18.21.2
18.817.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 3.8
1778
#30
22.02.8
18.020.8
Auto3.4
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed