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Red78
468318.5
430922.4
558825.6
Blue69
49220.9
290314.7
368418.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635702040801007869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5588
#21
25.61.2
25.126.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.1
End4.8
red by 4.7
492
#26
20.90.2
20.320.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End4.0
Second
4309
#10
22.41.7
21.222.9
Auto9.0
Teleop8.7
End4.7
red by 3.5
3684
#25
18.80.2
20.119.9
Auto2.8
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Third
4683
#19
18.51.6
13.915.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End3.3
red by 3.8
2903
#31
14.70.2
15.815.6
Auto1.8
Teleop11.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed