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Red65
56819.4
403015.9
291023.1
Blue49
294221.0
307012.3
297621.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62593040507080906549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#15
23.10.4
23.223.7
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 1.4
2976
#16
21.70.7
23.622.9
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.9
Second
568
#29
19.40.5
19.219.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End2.9
blue by 1.6
2942
#35
21.00.8
20.119.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Third
4030
#17
15.90.4
17.217.6
Auto1.5
Teleop10.8
End3.5
red by 3.6
3070
#34
12.30.7
13.913.2
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed