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Red70
322326.8
582715.2
177822.0
Blue67
468221.4
491131.6
26609.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6362507080907067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.6
24.525.1
Auto10.2
Teleop11.1
End5.5
blue by 4.8
31.60.5
31.331.8
Auto7.2
Teleop18.8
End5.6
Second
1778
#30
22.00.8
20.821.6
Auto3.4
Teleop14.1
End4.4
red by 0.6
4682
#27
21.40.6
21.822.4
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End4.7
Third
5827
#28
15.20.6
15.416.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End-0.1
red by 6.0
2660
#38
9.10.5
7.68.1
Auto1.3
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed