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Red63
406136.9
35757.9
371217.1
Blue32
294422.9
412517.6
292321.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4658020801001201406332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.8
24.826.6
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 14.0
22.92.5
20.017.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End5.0
Second
3712
#15
17.11.8
12.414.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.1
blue by 4.0
2923
#20
21.12.5
17.615.0
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End0.5
Third
3575
#30
7.91.8
9.611.4
Auto1.1
Teleop6.5
End0.3
blue by 9.8
4125
#26
17.62.5
17.214.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed