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Red71
413215.2
214816.3
472625.6
Blue17
41044.6
358613.6
38767.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423801020305060707117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.63.4
11.514.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
red by 12.0
3586
#22
13.62.9
11.89.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Second
2148
#25
16.33.4
14.317.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.1
red by 8.5
3876
#33
7.82.9
19.416.5
Auto0.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Third
4132
#14
15.23.4
14.718.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End2.1
red by 10.6
4104
#29
4.62.9
6.53.7
Auto0.1
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed