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Red40
545028.5
41208.0
36938.9
Blue61
159523.3
498020.8
607615.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3658020801001204061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.9
17.816.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.7
red by 5.2
23.30.9
27.027.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End5.4
Second
3693
#27
8.90.9
11.911.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 11.9
20.80.9
15.516.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End4.5
Third
4120
#28
8.00.9
8.37.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.0
blue by 7.3
6076
#24
15.30.9
10.611.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed