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Red59
469221.1
36938.9
592028.5
Blue45
292321.1
358613.6
449512.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404010203050605945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.52.3
17.319.6
Auto8.4
Teleop15.5
End4.6
red by 7.4
2923
#20
21.10.1
14.614.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End0.5
Second
4692
#12
21.12.3
12.815.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.5
red by 7.5
3586
#22
13.60.1
7.27.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Third
3693
#27
8.92.3
8.610.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 3.2
4495
#18
12.00.1
17.617.7
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed