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Red81
406136.9
594218.7
292618.6
Blue24
35757.9
378912.3
214918.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342102030506070808124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.93.9
27.931.8
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 18.7
2149
#21
18.22.0
17.415.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Second
5942
#17
18.73.9
9.113.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End3.9
red by 6.4
3789
#31
12.32.0
13.211.2
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Third
2926
#23
18.63.9
3.87.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End5.5
red by 10.7
3575
#30
7.92.0
11.49.4
Auto1.1
Teleop6.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed