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Red42
38767.8
498020.8
594218.7
Blue60
408211.7
292618.6
545028.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45360204060804260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.6
15.214.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End4.5
blue by 7.7
28.52.5
18.521.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.7
Second
5942
#17
18.70.6
14.714.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End3.9
red by 0.1
2926
#23
18.62.5
10.713.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End5.5
Third
3876
#33
7.80.6
12.812.2
Auto0.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 3.9
4082
#16
11.72.5
6.89.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed10%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed