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Red44
460816.6
358613.6
322016.1
Blue32
371217.1
41208.0
413215.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383701020305060704432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4608
#19
16.60.2
14.414.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.6
blue by 0.5
3712
#15
17.10.9
14.613.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.1
Second
3220
#11
16.10.2
12.512.7
Auto6.8
Teleop7.9
End1.4
red by 0.9
4132
#14
15.20.9
13.212.4
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Third
3586
#22
13.60.2
10.110.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 5.6
4120
#28
8.00.9
8.07.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
9%Breach oddsMissed18%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed