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Red54
460816.6
451323.9
469221.1
Blue52
413215.2
412517.6
449512.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544302060801005452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.7
23.923.1
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
red by 6.2
4125
#26
17.61.0
16.317.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End3.2
Second
4692
#12
21.10.7
12.311.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.5
red by 5.9
4132
#14
15.21.0
13.714.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Third
4608
#19
16.60.7
14.513.7
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.6
red by 4.6
4495
#18
12.01.0
13.414.4
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed