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Red34
214729.3
214816.3
36938.9
Blue12
292618.6
472625.6
358613.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5541020801003412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.32.5
20.217.7
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.3
red by 3.8
25.63.3
14.811.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
Second
2148
#25
16.32.5
16.814.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.1
blue by 2.3
2926
#23
18.63.3
11.78.4
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End5.5
Third
3693
#27
8.92.5
14.411.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 4.7
3586
#22
13.63.3
15.111.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed