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Red47
378912.3
498020.8
322016.1
Blue18
35757.9
612916.6
607615.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5535020801001204718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.5
17.015.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End4.5
red by 4.2
6129
#10
16.62.1
12.810.6
Auto2.1
Teleop11.7
End2.8
Second
3220
#11
16.11.5
17.115.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.9
End1.4
red by 0.9
6076
#24
15.32.1
12.710.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
Third
3789
#31
12.31.5
16.715.1
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End1.0
red by 4.4
3575
#30
7.92.1
11.79.6
Auto1.1
Teleop6.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed