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Red24
15717.2
173522.6
128910.9
Blue35
8818.2
50119.4
12523.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841010501502002435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.64.3
22.017.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.4
End4.0
blue by 1.1
125
#1
23.74.0
27.823.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End3.0
Second
157
#10
17.24.3
20.616.3
Auto3.3
Teleop11.7
End2.2
blue by 2.3
501
#12
19.44.0
21.117.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End2.5
Third
1289
#21
10.94.3
15.311.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.9
End1.3
blue by 7.3
88
#16
18.24.0
21.817.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsMissed