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Qual 62016 Week 0
Red59
7821.6
81121.0
5820.8
Blue66
105823.9
107312.0
31923.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010902004006008001,0001,2005966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#4
21.60.9
21.3→20.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End3.0
blue by 2.2
1058
#6
23.90.1
22.3→22.3
Auto4.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Second
811
#3
21.00.9
22.0→21.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.6
End3.5
blue by 2.3
319
#2
23.30.1
24.8→24.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End4.7
Third
58
#15
20.80.9
24.0→23.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End2.4
red by 8.9
1073
#14
12.00.1
18.3→18.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed51%Capture oddsMissed