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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Wisconsin Regional
Red100
167539.1
253029.3
257424.3
Blue108
590329.1
70639.3
53720.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119110406080100140160180200100108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#19
39.10.3
39.7→39.4
Auto12.1
Teleop21.3
End5.7
blue by 0.2
706
#5
39.30.0
39.5→39.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End9.9
Second
2530
#4
29.30.4
30.0→29.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
red by 0.2
5903
#13
29.10.0
29.3→29.3
Auto7.4
Teleop16.9
End4.8
Third
2574
#33
24.30.4
25.0→24.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End4.0
red by 3.9
537
#26
20.30.0
20.5→20.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End3.2