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Red114
577315.6
125935.8
19230.4
Blue83
282634.9
283020.0
207729.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69784050609010011011483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.83.7
28.031.7
Auto10.6
Teleop18.6
End6.6
red by 1.0
2826
#25
34.90.9
33.634.5
Auto7.7
Teleop20.9
End6.3
Second
192
#30
30.43.0
25.628.6
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End3.4
red by 1.2
2077
#20
29.20.6
27.628.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.6
End4.9
Third
5773
#45
15.65.0
15.220.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End1.0
blue by 4.4
2830
#42
20.00.7
13.714.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed