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Red89
585530.8
509623.5
341834.7
Blue59
171617.9
25009.5
424124.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674302060801001201408959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.73.0
28.931.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.0
End4.7
red by 9.7
4241
#41
24.91.5
18.820.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.0
Second
5855
#23Sur
30.83.0
16.719.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End3.6
red by 12.8
1716
#44Sur
17.91.5
16.918.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Third
5096
#34
23.53.0
16.419.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
red by 14.1
2500
#52
9.51.1
10.111.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed