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Red92
130627.1
253029.3
109125.8
Blue95
235829.6
453125.4
93031.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72810501001509295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.8
24.726.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
blue by 2.6
930
#12
31.91.5
28.429.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.3
Second
1306
#9Sur
27.11.8
23.725.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End5.9
blue by 2.6
2358
#28Sur
29.61.2
24.826.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.7
End4.0
Third
1091
#24
25.81.1
22.823.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.3
red by 0.4
4531
#37
25.41.5
23.825.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed