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Red78
171617.9
585530.8
319723.8
Blue66
253029.3
167539.1
19230.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5210501507866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5855
#23
30.82.2
19.721.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End3.6
blue by 8.4
1675
#19
39.11.9
39.137.2
Auto12.1
Teleop21.3
End5.7
Second
3197
#29
23.82.2
20.222.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End5.1
blue by 6.6
192
#30
30.41.9
28.626.7
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End3.4
Third
1716
#44
17.92.2
18.320.5
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.2
blue by 11.3
29.33.1
26.523.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed