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Red86
220232.9
424124.9
207729.2
Blue93
597625.2
257424.3
173233.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7563020401001201408693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#17
32.91.0
22.723.7
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End6.0
blue by 0.2
1732
#10
33.12.0
28.230.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.4
End5.0
Second
2077
#20
29.21.0
28.229.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.6
End4.9
red by 4.0
5976
#32
25.23.3
18.521.8
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Third
4241
#41
24.91.6
20.321.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.0
red by 0.7
2574
#33
24.33.3
16.619.9
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed