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Red70
500319.3
206236.2
130627.1
Blue71
359621.3
53720.3
478627.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816320401001207071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.7
32.131.4
Auto6.7
Teleop24.2
End5.3
red by 9.0
4786
#31
27.30.5
24.525.0
Auto7.4
Teleop16.1
End3.8
Second
27.10.7
25.424.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End5.9
red by 5.8
3596
#16
21.30.8
19.620.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End3.3
Third
5003
#40
19.30.7
18.617.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.6
blue by 1.0
537
#26
20.30.5
20.020.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed