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Red79
369214.5
25009.5
171439.4
Blue62
250624.9
606421.8
605820.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515602040801001207962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.42.2
29.631.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End9.3
red by 14.5
2506
#14
24.90.9
17.318.3
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Second
3692
#38
14.52.2
9.111.3
Auto1.5
Teleop11.6
End1.4
blue by 7.3
6064
#36
21.80.9
16.417.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.3
Third
2500
#52
9.52.2
11.213.4
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End0.9
blue by 11.4
6058
#46
20.80.9
19.820.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed