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Red44
555215.1
42479.6
424124.9
Blue71
171617.9
283020.0
622317.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45562040801004471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4241
#41
24.90.2
21.921.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.0
red by 4.9
2830
#42
20.00.9
17.918.7
Auto5.7
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Second
5552
#51
15.10.2
13.713.5
Auto2.6
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 2.8
1716
#44
17.91.5
20.522.0
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Third
4247
#53
9.60.2
10.09.8
Auto0.9
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 8.0
6223
#43
17.61.5
14.516.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed