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Red70
605820.8
19230.4
249826.4
Blue79
219436.3
109125.8
373425.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7272506080901001107079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#30
30.40.0
26.726.7
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End3.4
blue by 5.9
2194
#11
36.31.1
27.728.7
Auto12.7
Teleop15.9
End7.7
Second
26.40.1
23.223.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End4.8
red by 0.6
1091
#24
25.80.7
24.024.6
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.3
Third
6058
#46
20.80.1
20.820.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End3.7
blue by 4.7
3734
#18
25.61.1
17.518.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed